SACRAMENTO, Calif —
The Sacramento and northern San Joaquin Valley have been relatively calm in terms to the expected thunderstorm activity on Monday, but the risk remains through the evening hours.
The Storm Prediction Center maintains a 5% risk of tornadoes in the valley from Chico to Galt.
Widespread showers and limited sunshine since the morning hours have helped to stymie thunderstorm development apart from a few areas, including a storm that produced pea-size hail near Willows.
Monday still has all the ingredients to be an impactful severe weather day.
The Storm Prediction Center issued a level 2 out of 5 “slight” risk for severe weather for Monday in the Southern Sacramento and northern San Joaquin Valley.
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Slight risk days in California are rare. There aren't a lot of them in the area, but they do happen and Monday is one of those days.
“Residents in the area (Chico, Yuba City, Sacramento, Stockton, and Modesto) are advised to pay close attention to the weather today and have plans for severe weather threats if anything develops,” wrote NWS Sacramento in their area forecast discussion on Monday afternoon.
Since 1970, Sacramento County has had 15 confirmed tornadoes and San Joaquin County has had 17. Tuolumne County had its first confirmed tornado last March near Tuttletown.
Thunderstorms will also be possible on Tuesday but they won’t have the severe potential that the storms on Monday have. Regardless, a 2% chance of tornado development exists in the Sacramento Valley on Tuesday.
While the valley and foothills are dealing with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, the Sierra will continue to pickup snowfall. Another 1-2 feet of snow is expected above 5,500 feet through Wednesday before the region gets a chance to dry out the second half of the work week.
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